Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.437430 0.479365 0.524931 0.578358 0.639593 0.707950 0.790541
2025-08-24 0.363026 0.419588 0.485855 0.570216 0.676216 0.807022 0.983952
2025-08-31 0.318078 0.380629 0.457672 0.561478 0.700816 0.886234 1.160543
2025-09-07 0.292343 0.359651 0.445973 0.567895 0.741083 0.987530 1.383835
2025-09-14 0.266490 0.334725 0.424960 0.557152 0.753582 1.048921 1.558931
2025-09-21 0.248547 0.318019 0.412455 0.555512 0.777244 1.128758 1.780538
2025-09-28 0.228887 0.296996 0.391548 0.538545 0.774105 1.163897 1.930994
2025-10-05 0.222700 0.294029 0.395686 0.559014 0.832259 1.310830 2.332907
2025-10-12 0.215581 0.288981 0.396039 0.573183 0.881439 1.450910 2.768494
2025-10-19 0.206132 0.279719 0.389084 0.574492 0.907955 1.552906 3.155771
2025-10-26 0.194347 0.266142 0.374355 0.561205 0.905890 1.596931 3.416708
2025-11-02 0.183260 0.252936 0.359240 0.545759 0.897619 1.626176 3.650137
2025-11-09 0.173773 0.241937 0.347351 0.535662 0.900044 1.683187 4.001721
2025-11-16 0.165358 0.232182 0.336904 0.527337 0.905329 1.749227 4.421072
2025-11-23 0.157762 0.223270 0.327206 0.519400 0.910251 1.815680 4.882097
2025-11-30 0.153332 0.219109 0.325077 0.525153 0.944681 1.963896 5.741853
2025-12-07 0.146545 0.210772 0.315312 0.515505 0.944214 2.021102 6.284774
2025-12-14 0.141659 0.205273 0.310049 0.514031 0.961830 2.132648 7.164558
2025-12-21 0.134885 0.196340 0.298291 0.498779 0.945687 2.143845 7.574162
2025-12-28 0.133893 0.196918 0.303214 0.517177 1.011539 2.418993 9.707475
2026-01-04 0.132046 0.195943 0.305271 0.529897 1.065823 2.678369 12.198103
2026-01-11 0.128645 0.192152 0.301971 0.531072 1.091065 2.849579 14.408185
2026-01-18 0.123652 0.185412 0.292885 0.519146 1.080336 2.889433 15.628374